These have been turbulent times for the Indian real
estate industry. Or the calm before the storm if you will.
In the last two to three weeks, I have witnessed
many incidents that will have a direct bearing on the real estate industry. The
National Green Tribunal's ruling that the vast amount of construction along the
Noida Expressway is contributing to pollution is promising. Despite the fact
that the fortune of thousands of home buyers is impacted, it was critical that
there is some statutory check on the unruly building practices. The leniency in
giving them time to correct themselves is extremely positive.
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That India is facing a 22.7 million units housing
shortage and trying to cover the gap in just seven years by 2022 is ambitious.
However, without stringent controls the entire country would face the type of
pollution that the NCR is facing. For a healthy and prosperous India where
there is adequate shelter to house all its citizens, these checks are critical.
Else healthcare costs rising due to rampant pollution would be the price to
pay.
Another policy move that warmed the cockles of my
heart was the stricture given to the banks by the Governor of the Reserve Bank
of India, Raghuram Rajan. In no uncertain terms, he told the country and the
banking community that there would be no sops if the benefits of basis point
cuts are not passed on to the consumers. Within hours of this chiding, three
leading banks have dropped interest rates on home loans. Many others have
followed.
Many consumer surveys on Magicbricks tell us that
rising home loan interest rates is one of the critical factors for
deteriorating consumer sentiment. Many feel if they take a loan on higher rates
the new benefits do not flow to all.
However, in an ideal situation, a home loan
consumer should be able to take a floating rate of interest and rest assured
that the benefits of falling rates will come to him or her too. That has not
happened for a while and only new consumers get the special benefits of lower
rates. After years of being taken for granted the consumer prefers to err on
the side of caution. That is not
good for the industry or the consumer. The small cuts in interest rates and the
RBI Governor's tough stance show a tilt towards the day of the consumer. Will
the buyer shed his inhibitions and start negotiating?
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